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The country risk ratings represent the joint assessments of Dragonfly and Aon, and aim to provide a global overview of the level of probable exposures that businesses and their supply chains have to political violence risks in 2018. Further information and insights of a terror threat map can be found on the Terrorism Tracker database.
The findings of the Terrorism & Political Violence Risk Map 2018, point to a more unstable and dangerous world, where business-threatening geopolitical risks are becoming a much greater concern. For the third year running, we have increased the risk levels for more countries than we have reduced.
The ratings capture persisting and diversifying terrorist threats, but significantly this year, they also capture the impact of resurgent nationalism and authoritarianism.
While civil unrest and terrorism dominate the ratings for most countries, the likelihood of interstate conflict involving major powers has reached the highest point since the end of the Cold War. Growing geopolitical competition, what the US administration has termed Russian and Chinese ‘revisionism’, and a leadership deficit in international diplomacy all contribute to sustained or increased risks of armed conflict. They also mean that more vulnerable countries are at greater risk of political violence from within, and are more exposed to instability spreading from external conflicts.
If you would like to receive a hard copy of the Terrorism & Political Violence Risk Map 2018 or read the accompanying report, please click on the respective links below: